From Hardware Specs to Algorithmic Warfare: Will AI Decide Future Wars?

paz 02/09/2025

Just days ago, Russia’s strategic bombers worth billions were destroyed by swarms of cheap drones. India’s Rafale fighters, hailed as top fourth-generation jets, were shot down before even seeing their opponent. These incidents highlight a reality: future wars won’t be determined by raw performance on paper, but by intelligence, integration, and systems-level advantage.

Case 1: Pakistan vs. India
India’s Rafales were defeated by Pakistan’s integrated system—early warning aircraft, surveillance planes, and PL-15 long-range missiles. Rafales never even located the enemy before being locked on and destroyed.

Case 2: Ukraine vs. Russia
Ukraine spent over a year secretly deploying small, cheap quadcopter drones, which then launched a surprise strike on a Russian airbase, destroying 40 strategic bombers—critical to Russia’s nuclear deterrent. Even Elon Musk noted: drones have become the main actors on the battlefield.

The Lesson:
No matter how powerful an individual weapon may look on paper, it cannot prevail against a systemized, intelligent, and networked approach. The future of warfare is systematic, intelligent, unmanned, and miniaturized.

The Path Toward Sixth-Generation Fighters

China, though not the first to propose sixth-generation jets, has already conducted test flights (J-36, J-50 demonstrators). Western programs are still in early stages. Globally, consensus is forming: the sixth-generation fighter is essentially a “flying supercomputer.” Its breakthroughs lie not in maneuverability, but in seeing farther, computing faster, and striking more precisely.

Core characteristics include:

  1. Massive Computing Power – Beyond pilot capacity, fighters will process city-scale data flows in real time, demanding large onboard computing systems, energy supply, and cooling.
  2. Enhanced Situational Awareness – Integrating data from satellites, drones, and allies, a sixth-gen jet acts as a frontline command center. It can control drones remotely, sometimes striking without firing itself.
  3. Longer Range & Stealth—With bigger internal weapons bays for long-range missiles and greater fuel capacity, dogfights give way to beyond-visual-range combat.

Though still piloted for now, the future likely points to full autonomy, where human pilots shift from operators to mission managers—or are replaced entirely by AI.

The Bigger Picture

Such capabilities demand extreme advances in aeronautics, propulsion, electronics, and especially AI. Costs are staggering: the U.S. NGAD fighter is projected at $160 million per unit—twice that of the F-35—and may not be ready until the mid-2030s. Many nations will likely abandon their programs under financial strain.

But the key insight remains: modern war is not weapon vs. weapon but system vs. system, data vs. data, algorithm vs. algorithm, and industrial capacity vs. industrial capacity. Victory will belong to the side that can:

  • Build a fully integrated combat ecosystem,
  • Deploy swarms of intelligent unmanned systems,
  • Sustain mass production of advanced equipment.

Just as cybersecurity has shifted from human hackers to AI-versus-AI battles, physical warfare too is evolving into algorithmic competition. Ultimately, artificial intelligence will be the decisive force in both cyberspace and real-world battlefields.